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	Name:	MartiniMan -
	Subject:	How Would
	Date:	5/27/2009 9:39:21 PM

Its not a matter of anything other than a perception of how we will respond to their belligerent actions. Right now he sees Obama as weak and ineffectual and is making hay while the sun shines.

I heard an interview with John Bolten today that was very interesting. He is strongly opposed to a military solution because worst-case estimates involve 1 million casualties. I agree with him. But what he suggested that makes more sense to me is to coopt China into controlling NK. Right now they are propping up the current government primarily because they fear the millions of refugees fleeing into China. He was also critical of the Bush administration's policy toward to NK, which he believes is being continued under Obama.

What he suggested is that if we don't do something Japan, South Korea and Taiwan will be forced to go nuclear to defend themselves. That to me is more destabilizing. So his suggestion was to pressure China on the issue of North Korea instead of climate change, which seems to be the priority.