Off-Topic: You do not understand models
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Name:   lakngulf The author of this post is registered as a member - Email Member
Subject:   You do not understand models
Date:   4/29/2020 8:45:53 AM

I think the early data was a significant reliance on Italy experience.  Any reliance on China cases was ready skewed.  Italy experience was so different.....higher percent elderly,  close ties with China manufacturing,  did not shut down travel from China.  I have even heard that Chinese workers are flown in daily, so new germs daily.

Dr Birx mentioned Italy much and often early on.

Dr Fauci has never liked models, only used them to his advantage, then criticized when wrong.  He still wanted more shut down!
Other messages in this thread:View Entire Thread
Were the U.S. measures effective? - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 9:06:15 AM
     Demographics..... - wix - 4/28/2020 11:21:40 AM
          Demographics do not matter - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 12:13:41 PM
               Demographics do matter - wix - 4/28/2020 12:46:45 PM
                    . - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 12:49:10 PM
                    Those are behaviors, not demographics - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 1:13:24 PM
                         Those are behaviors, not demographics - wix - 4/28/2020 1:30:39 PM
                              Those are behaviors, not demographics - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 2:19:10 PM
                                   Information to satisfy - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 2:47:32 PM
                                        Not really satisfying....interesting, not relevant - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 3:48:53 PM
                                             Not really satisfying....interesting, not relevant - wix - 4/28/2020 5:44:27 PM
                                                  Not really satisfying....interesting, not relevant - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 8:17:01 AM
     Were the U.S. measures effective? - Talullahhound - 4/28/2020 7:31:45 PM
          Demographics or Behavior - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 9:14:56 PM
               Key word....Goof-KRAP - wix - 4/28/2020 9:37:58 PM
                    SWEDEN VS USA and 19 - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 11:02:23 PM
                         Interesting comment, but obviously wrong - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 8:45:41 AM
          You do not understand models - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 8:35:31 AM
               You do not understand models - lakngulf - 4/29/2020 8:45:53 AM
                    All probably true - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 9:08:40 AM
                         Birx and Fauci - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 12:41:21 PM
                              Birx and Fauci - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 1:55:04 PM
                                   Georgia - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 6:26:28 PM
                                        Georgia - MartiniMan - 4/30/2020 8:23:17 AM
               You do not understand models - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 12:34:14 PM
                    You do not understand models - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 12:55:32 PM
                         You do not understand models - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 6:32:06 PM
                              Sigh...... - MartiniMan - 4/30/2020 8:31:05 AM


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