Off-Topic: You do not understand models
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Name:   Talullahhound The author of this post is registered as a member - Email Member
Subject:   You do not understand models
Date:   4/29/2020 6:32:06 PM

Yes, I agree they were wrong in the beginning.  But as time has gone on, they have become more accurate.  But we heard NY Coumo swearing he would need 60,000 ventilators and he was wrong.  

I don't understand why you don't seem to undertand that things change over time and with more experience.  We have a virus that we haven't seen before.  They had no idea what it would do.  Now they think they do.  Will it change again?  Likely.  

It's not the be all and end all.  It's just one tool in trying to figure out what to expect.  But it is not the only tool.
Other messages in this thread:View Entire Thread
Were the U.S. measures effective? - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 9:06:15 AM
     Demographics..... - wix - 4/28/2020 11:21:40 AM
          Demographics do not matter - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 12:13:41 PM
               Demographics do matter - wix - 4/28/2020 12:46:45 PM
                    . - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 12:49:10 PM
                    Those are behaviors, not demographics - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 1:13:24 PM
                         Those are behaviors, not demographics - wix - 4/28/2020 1:30:39 PM
                              Those are behaviors, not demographics - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 2:19:10 PM
                                   Information to satisfy - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 2:47:32 PM
                                        Not really satisfying....interesting, not relevant - MartiniMan - 4/28/2020 3:48:53 PM
                                             Not really satisfying....interesting, not relevant - wix - 4/28/2020 5:44:27 PM
                                                  Not really satisfying....interesting, not relevant - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 8:17:01 AM
     Were the U.S. measures effective? - Talullahhound - 4/28/2020 7:31:45 PM
          Demographics or Behavior - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 9:14:56 PM
               Key word....Goof-KRAP - wix - 4/28/2020 9:37:58 PM
                    SWEDEN VS USA and 19 - GoneFishin - 4/28/2020 11:02:23 PM
                         Interesting comment, but obviously wrong - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 8:45:41 AM
          You do not understand models - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 8:35:31 AM
               You do not understand models - lakngulf - 4/29/2020 8:45:53 AM
                    All probably true - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 9:08:40 AM
                         Birx and Fauci - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 12:41:21 PM
                              Birx and Fauci - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 1:55:04 PM
                                   Georgia - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 6:26:28 PM
                                        Georgia - MartiniMan - 4/30/2020 8:23:17 AM
               You do not understand models - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 12:34:14 PM
                    You do not understand models - MartiniMan - 4/29/2020 12:55:32 PM
                         You do not understand models - Talullahhound - 4/29/2020 6:32:06 PM
                              Sigh...... - MartiniMan - 4/30/2020 8:31:05 AM


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