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Name:
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copperline
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Subject:
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Answer to The Iranian nuclear problem
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Date:
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2/27/2012 12:52:58 PM
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Bombing iran
Nobody
should welcome the prospect of a nuclear-armed iran. But bombing the place is
not the answer
Feb 25th
2012 – The Economist
“A decision to go to war should be based not
on one man’s electoral prospects, but on the argument that war is warranted and
likely to succeed. iran’s intentions are malign and the consequences of its
having a weapon would be grave. Faced by such a regime you should never
permanently forswear war. However, the case for war’s success is hard to make.
if iran is intent on getting a bomb, an attack would delay but not stop it.
indeed, using Western bombs as a tool to prevent nuclear proliferation risks
making iran only more determined to build a weapon—and more dangerous when it
gets one.”
“That does not mean the world should just let iran
get the bomb. The government will soon be starved of revenues, because of an
oil embargo. Sanctions are biting, the financial system is increasingly
isolated and the currency has plunged in value. Proponents of an attack argue
that military humiliation would finish the regime off. But it is as likely to
rally iranians around their leaders. Meanwhile, political change is sweeping
across the Middle East. The regime in Tehran is divided and it has lost the faith
of its people. Eventually, popular resistance will spring up as it did in 2009.
A new regime brought about by the iranians themselves is more likely to
renounce the bomb than one that has just witnessed an American assault”
“is there a danger that iran will get a nuclear
weapon before that happens? Yes, but bombing might only increase the risk. Can
you stop iran from getting a bomb if it is determined to have one? Not
indefinitely, and bombing it might make it all the more desperate. Short of
occupation, the world cannot eliminate iran’s capacity to gain the bomb. it can
only change its will to possess one. Just now that is more likely to come about
through sanctions and diplomacy than war.”
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