Name:   Carlson - Subject:   SCOTUS opening Date:   1/27/2022 5:59:13 PM

? Digging deeper w/Max -Now, it is starting to look like Dems may *not* be able to fill the vacancy. Here's why: -McConnell and Chucky Cheese agreed to a power-sharing plan in February that splits committee membership in half. ~The powerful Senate Judiciary Committee has 11 Dems and 11 Repubs (most of whom are hardline Cons, like Cruz and Hawley). ~Under the agreement, which Harris does not play *any* role, if there is a tie in the motion to advance the nominee out of Commitee, the nomination is rendered "inert". Meaning it's tabled. ~What that means under Senate rules is Schumer can still bring the nomination to the floor for a vote, and override the commitee. ~However, however, however...because the nominee was not advanced by a majority of the commitee it faces a filibuster and he has to invoke cloture. -If you've studied civics with me, you'll know that you need *60* votes to invoke cloture, otherwise you face a Republican filibuster. -In short, unless Graham, Hawley, Cruz, or some other Republican on the committee, breaks ranks, Biden's Nominee will need TEN Republicans and *all* Dems to be confirmed. Not gonna happen. ~This is starting to look like an impossibility, given the stakes for the upcoming Midterms. ~Republicans are not going to break ranks, no way. They didn't for BBB or the Filibuster, they won't to confirm someone to SCOTUS. ~Remember too, Manchin voted against Dems to change the filibuster rules in 2013 for Obama's judicial nominees and again against Republicans to force Trump's SCOTUS nominees in 2017. So, he's a big fat no to circumvent the "inert" rule. ~This is going to make the fight for (and defeat of) the BBB look like kiddie play. Good times, ahead. You're welcome. ~@Maximus_4EVR ?? PS Feel free to share this post across platforms. Just link back to it please.