Off-Topic: A Favorite of Martini

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	Name:	GoneFishin -
	Subject:	A Favorite of Martini
	Date:	11/14/2012 11:50:06 PM

Here is a cut n paste from an article in the LA Times about Martini's favorite pollster. It is interesting that Rasmussen "weighs" the results to try and predict party. There was consistent criticism from some on the Forum of other polls that showed Obama leading that they polled more Democrats. Martini liked to remind us that Rasmussen polled likely voters. So much for the expert.

Ohio -- Rasmussen: dead heat. Actual: Obama by 2.
Virginia -- Rasmussen: Romney +2. Actual: Obama by 3.
Iowa -- Rasmussen: Romney +1. Actual: Obama by 6.
Wisconsin -- Rasmussen: tie. Actual: Obama by 7.
Colorado -- Rasmussen: Romney +3. Actual: Obama by 5.

Some conservative media outlets used the Rasmussen polling to prop up a narrative in the final days of the campaign that Romney had momentum and a good chance of winning the White House.

Rasmussen has drawn scrutiny before because it employs automated surveys that do not reach mobile phones, which more and more Americans use as their primary form of communication.

The pollster also “weights” results to try to predict the party identification of the electorate. Other pollsters frown on this approach, saying one of the primary functions of the polls is to assess whether voters consider themselves Democrats, Republicans, members of some other party or no party.

Other messages in this thread:

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A Favorite of Martini - GoneFishin - 11/14/2012 11:50:06 PM

amazing the amount of illegal voting - water_watcher - 11/15/2012 6:19:44 AM

A Favorite of Martini - MartiniMan - 11/15/2012 8:09:42 AM

Some more analysis - MartiniMan - 11/15/2012 5:37:19 PM

Some more analysis - GoneFishin - 11/16/2012 12:19:31 AM

I voted against him because he is wrong - MartiniMan - 11/16/2012 9:36:02 AM

I voted against him because he is wrong - GoneFishin - 11/16/2012 10:24:10 AM

Excellent question - MartiniMan - 11/16/2012 10:38:03 AM

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