Name:   MartiniMan - Subject:   GOP establishment to back Hillary if Trump nominee Date:   11/30/2015 4:52:27 PM

I am not sure Iowa is the key to whether he gets the nomination because of the goofy process.  It rewards a candidate for the zealousness of their core supporters and hasn't done a good job picking the eventual nominee.  NH or SC may be the better test of his true support.  Either way it is going to be interesting to see how this works out.  At the end of the day Cruz may be the big beneficiary if Trump craters for some reason.  He has been assiduously avoiding alienating Trump supporters and is clearly not an establishment guy and may be acceptable to them, much more so than Carson, Rubio, Christie et al.