Name:   MartiniMan - Subject:   Some positive Wuhan virus news Date:   4/6/2020 5:09:17 PM

Goofy, they've changed the predictions downward.  And the peak is not supposed to happen for another 9 or 10 days.  The latest guesstimate was peaking at around 3,000 deaths per day.  I think a lot of this is interpolating what is happening in NY/NJ and assuming that other large metropolitan areas will see similar numbers.  I don't think that will be the case for two reasons: 1) nowhere do so many people in such a small area rely so heavily on public transportation; and 2) NYC/NJ did not institute measures until they were well into it.  Other cities have taken measures before they were hit hard and so my thinking is they will not be as bad as NY/NJ...hopefully.  But either way, the 240K number is out the window and has been replaced by a much smaller projection.