Name:   MartiniMan - Subject:   LA Study-virus more widespread and less deadly Date:   4/21/2020 11:37:26 AM

As I predicted someone has finally done a study of the actual number of people that have the virus antibodies and it seems that the actual mortality of the Wuhan virus is almost the same as the ordinary flu.  Still based on prelim data and they need to confirm the testing results to make sure they are accurate but it does indeed look like the confirmed cases is between 50 and 80 times too low. 

What this means is that it has been around for much longer and is more widespread in the population (i.e., many people get it and are either asympomatic or symptoms are mild enough to not require a visit to the doctor, much less hospitalization).  Remember, between 35 and 60 million Americans get the flu every year with 300,000 to 400,000 requiring hospitalization and 15,000 to 35,000 dying.  At the end of the day this may turn out to be a worse than normal flu season and not the crisis that led to the crushing of the economy.  We won't know for another few months but that is my guesstimate.