Name:   MartiniMan - Subject:   Didn't copy well Date:   5/19/2020 8:53:16 AM (updated 5/19/2020 8:55:17 AM)

Orange line is confirmed cases.  Blue line is number of tests.  Dashed line is a projected number of actual infections and the shading is the uncertainty on estimated total number of cases. 

As for how long before we know, estimates range from two weeks to a month so I agree that we are still in a wait and see mode which is why I've been careful to say "so far". But we were told to expect an almost immediate increase in the number of cases.  I never believed that because many states that didn't take the same draconian measures saw very similar curves as those that did and in many cases were much better.

One thing that is interesting though regardless of the timing issue is that the number of confirmed cases has not gone up even with a very significant increase in testing.  That is surprising and makes me wonder if the Wuhan virus is as contagious as the so-called experts continue to tell us.  Time will tell....but so far so good and I am really hoping the naysayers are wrong.