Name:   Talullahhound - Subject:   You do not understand models Date:   4/29/2020 6:32:06 PM

Yes, I agree they were wrong in the beginning.  But as time has gone on, they have become more accurate.  But we heard NY Coumo swearing he would need 60,000 ventilators and he was wrong.  

I don't understand why you don't seem to undertand that things change over time and with more experience.  We have a virus that we haven't seen before.  They had no idea what it would do.  Now they think they do.  Will it change again?  Likely.  

It's not the be all and end all.  It's just one tool in trying to figure out what to expect.  But it is not the only tool.